Monday, November 2, 2015

Australia's Oct manufacturing index in moderate expansion

FXStreet (Bali) - Australia's AIG Performance of Manufacturing index for October came in at 50.2 vs prior 52.1, and despite the decline, the result translates in its fourth straight month of expansion for the survey.

Key findings

The manufacturing industry expanded for a fourth consecutive month in October, albeit only marginally. The Australian Industry Group Australian Performance of Manufacturing Index (Australian PMI®) declined by 1.9 points to 50.2 points (readings above 50 points indicate expansion) (seasonally adjusted).

§ This month’s result is only very mildly positive, suggesting stability rather than meaningful growth across Australia’s manufacturing sectors.

§ October marked the 4th consecutive month in which the Australian PMI® was above 50.0 points (net expansion). This was the longest run of expansionary readings since July 2010.

§ Four of the eight manufacturing sub-sectors in the Australian PMI® expanded in October.

§ Among the seven activity sub-indexes, only exports (55.0 points) and supplier deliveries (51.3 points) were firmly positive and indicating expansion. The other five activity subindexes hovered just above or below 50.0 points in October, broadly indicating stability.

§ This year, October included an extra public holiday in Victoria for the first time and confirmed at short notice. This disrupted many manufacturers’ production and sales plans nationally. The disruption was compounded due to the timing of this holiday, just before public holidays in other states the following week. Respondents to the Australian PMI® indicated this affected their normal operations and delayed production, with affected manufacturers working extra shifts to meet pre-arranged schedules.

§ Other factors affecting manufacturers in October included the low dollar and better local confidence (both positives), but a rather mixed pipeline of new customers and new orders.
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